Definition
A Scenario is a coherent description of a possible future course of events, developed to assess the potential consequences of different decisions or changing conditions.
Human Explanation
A Scenario presents one plausible version of the future and examines what it could mean for an organisation.
Why it Matters
Considering multiple Scenarios helps an organisation prepare decisions under uncertainty and recognise consequences before they occur.
Conceptual Boundary
A Scenario is not a forecast or a prediction of what will happen. It is a structured possibility used to explore consequences and preparedness.
Practical Perspective
Useful analysis considers meaningfully different Scenarios rather than minor variations of one preferred future. Optimistic, realistic and adverse cases can provide a practical starting point.